Ukraine could launch major attack on Crimea before winter - Sky News

Ukraine may carry out a large-scale operation against Crimea before the winter season

According to Professor Michael Clarke, a military analyst, Ukraine may prepare for a major strike on Crimea before the onset of winter.

What Clarke said.

• He emphasises that the Ukrainian leadership likes to «arrange surprises» in military operations.

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• According to him, there have already been attacks on radar stations and air defence facilities in Crimea, which may pave the way for more actions.

• Clarke also suggested that if Ukraine acquires long-range missiles (e.g. Tomahawks), it could change its ability to hit strategic targets in the rear.

Context and challenges

• Russia has significantly strengthened the defence of Crimea, especially air defence and fortifications.

• Winter conditions (weather, limited mobility, logistics) can deter massive attacks.

• High price of risk: heavy losses and Russia's response.

Possible scenarios

1. Air or sea attack - highly mobile vehicles, drones, naval assault groups.

2. Missile strikes - from the western or southern directions using long-range weapons.

3. A blow to infrastructure - Kerch Bridge, ports, military bases.