Tomahawk will change the dynamics of any military conflict - Kellogg

Kellogg: Tomahawk missiles can change the course of any war

Keith Kellogg, the US Special Representative for Ukraine and Russia, said in a speech at the Warsaw Security Forum that if the use of long-range Tomahawk cruise missiles is allowed, their appearance will «change the dynamics of any military conflict». This statement triggered a new round of discussions in Washington and a sharp reaction in Moscow.

What is Tomahawk and how does it differ?

Tomahawk - is a series of long-range cruise missiles known for their high accuracy and ability to hit strategic targets over long distances. The missiles can be launched from ships or shore-based launchers and have long been used to strike ground targets.

Why Kellogg says it will change the dynamic

Kellogg stressed that the additional ability to deliver precision long-range strikes creates «another level of uncertainty» - both in terms of operational freedom and in the strategic calculations of the enemy. The presence of such missiles can force the enemy to reorganise logistics, move important facilities and change the balance of power.

Possible benefits

• Expanding capabilities for targeted strikes on infrastructure and military targets in the rear.

• Increasing the effectiveness of strategic strikes without posing a major threat to missile launchers.

Possible restrictions

• The Tomahawk is not a «magic» weapon that automatically decides the outcome of a battle - it requires intelligence, logistics, support systems and trained personnel.

• High likelihood of political and diplomatic complications if used.

Escalation risks and Russia's response

The Kremlin has already responded, warning of the risks of escalation and stressing that the supply of long-range weapons could complicate a diplomatic solution. Russian officials have sought to downplay the impact of such deliveries, but have acknowledged that the new weapons add to strategic uncertainty.

Political context and next steps

The final decision on whether to grant or authorise the use of Tomahawk depends on the US leadership and international agreements. Administration officials clarify that the issue has not yet been resolved and requires additional consultations.

Conclusion.

Keith Kellogg's words highlight the role of long-range precision weapons in modern warfare: the arrival of the Tomahawk on the battlefield would add new capabilities and, at the same time, increased risks of escalation. Therefore, even if the technical advantages are obvious, the political implications and strategic responsibilities make the issue very complex.