{"id":11141,"date":"2026-03-02T09:02:09","date_gmt":"2026-03-02T07:02:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ukrmedia.news\/?p=11141"},"modified":"2026-03-02T09:02:09","modified_gmt":"2026-03-02T07:02:09","slug":"gaz-yevropa-130-vidsotkiv","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ukrmedia.news\/en\/economics\/gaz-yevropa-130-vidsotkiv\/","title":{"rendered":"Gas price for Europe may rise by 130%"},"content":{"rendered":"

Gas shock for Europe: Goldman Sachs warns of a possible price spike for 130%<\/h2>\n

European natural gas prices could more than double if traffic through the Strait of Hormuz is blocked for at least one month. This was reported by Bloomberg<\/strong><\/em> with reference to analysts' forecasts Goldman Sachs<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Details of the forecast<\/h3>\n

The bank estimates that about a fifth of the world's liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports pass through the Strait of Hormuz, mainly from Qatar.<\/p>\n

In case of a one-month transit suspension:<\/strong><\/p>\n

    \n
  • \n

    European gas prices could jump by up to about 130%<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  • \n

    Asian spot LNG prices will also rise sharply<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  • \n

    The benchmark can reach approximately $25 per MMBtu<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Analysts note that the market has hardly priced in the \u00abIranian risk premium\u00bb yet.<\/p>\n

    Why the risk is so high<\/h3>\n

    The Strait of Hormuz is a key energy hub in the world. About 20% of global oil and gas flows pass through it, so any disruptions have an immediate impact on prices.<\/p>\n

    According to Goldman Sachs, the gas market may react even more strongly than the oil market due to limited opportunities to quickly increase alternative supplies.<\/p>\n

    What will happen in case of a longer blockade<\/h3>\n

    The bank warns that if the outage lasts for more than two months, European prices could exceed \u20ac100\/MWh<\/strong>, This could trigger a serious drop in global gas demand.<\/p>\n

    At the same time, the impact on the US market is expected to be limited, as the country is a major net exporter of LNG.<\/p>\n

    Context.<\/h3>\n

    Energy risks have risen sharply amid tensions between Iran, the US and Israel. Concerns about shipping safety are already forcing some tankers to change routes or stop near the Strait.<\/p>\n

    Analysts warn that even short-term disruptions could trigger a new wave of energy turbulence in Europe, especially against the backdrop of Russia's war against Ukraine and the EU's dependence on LNG.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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