{"id":12457,"date":"2026-03-15T13:31:01","date_gmt":"2026-03-15T11:31:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ukrmedia.news\/?p=12457"},"modified":"2026-03-15T13:31:01","modified_gmt":"2026-03-15T11:31:01","slug":"viyna-on-a-global-scale","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ukrmedia.news\/en\/analitika\/viyna-on-a-global-scale\/","title":{"rendered":"War in the Middle East: will the conflict become global?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Fighting on the <strong>Middle East<\/strong> is rapidly escalating from a regional conflict into a crisis that could change the balance of power in the world. Directly or indirectly involved in the confrontation are <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">USA<\/span><\/span>, Iran, Israel, the Gulf states and a number of international allies.<\/p>\n<h2 data-section-id=\"1ueagjs\" data-start=\"600\" data-end=\"629\">How the new escalation began<\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"633\" data-end=\"729\">The latest wave of tension began after a series of mutual strikes between Iran and US allies.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"731\" data-end=\"784\">Several key factors have dramatically increased the risk of war:<\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"786\" data-end=\"1040\">\n<li data-section-id=\"lg1woh\" data-start=\"786\" data-end=\"855\">\n<p data-start=\"788\" data-end=\"855\">missile attacks and drone strikes on military bases in the region;<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-section-id=\"nq0ou1\" data-start=\"856\" data-end=\"961\">\n<p data-start=\"858\" data-end=\"961\">Involvement of Iran's allies in the conflict - in particular, the <strong data-start=\"919\" data-end=\"960\"><span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Hezbollah<\/span><\/span><\/strong>;<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-section-id=\"5ylciy\" data-start=\"962\" data-end=\"1004\">\n<p data-start=\"964\" data-end=\"1004\">intensification of Israeli military operations;<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-section-id=\"yx5jqv\" data-start=\"1005\" data-end=\"1040\">\n<p data-start=\"1007\" data-end=\"1040\">direct US intervention in the hostilities.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"1042\" data-end=\"1217\">President of the United States <strong data-start=\"1056\" data-end=\"1073\">Donald Trump<\/strong> said that the operation against Iran could last longer than expected if Tehran does not agree to a new deal on security and its nuclear programme.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1219\" data-end=\"1288\">At the same time, a large-scale redeployment of troops and naval forces began in the region.<\/p>\n<hr data-start=\"1290\" data-end=\"1293\" \/>\n<h2 data-section-id=\"lyffn9\" data-start=\"1295\" data-end=\"1335\">Iran's Role and Tehran's New Strategy<\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1339\" data-end=\"1400\">Iran is demonstrating its readiness to wage a long war of attrition.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1402\" data-end=\"1434\">The main elements of its strategy:<\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"1436\" data-end=\"1626\">\n<li data-section-id=\"1f552ws\" data-start=\"1436\" data-end=\"1489\">\n<p data-start=\"1438\" data-end=\"1489\">use of medium-range ballistic missiles;<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-section-id=\"1reqgrq\" data-start=\"1490\" data-end=\"1527\">\n<p data-start=\"1492\" data-end=\"1527\">massive use of attack drones;<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-section-id=\"v9jdwv\" data-start=\"1528\" data-end=\"1564\">\n<p data-start=\"1530\" data-end=\"1564\">attacks through proxy forces in the region;<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-section-id=\"j9yjbo\" data-start=\"1565\" data-end=\"1626\">\n<p data-start=\"1567\" data-end=\"1626\">strikes on energy infrastructure and sea routes.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"1628\" data-end=\"1787\">Tehran is trying to avoid a direct full-scale war with the United States, but at the same time seeks to inflict maximum political and economic damage on Washington's allies.<\/p>\n<hr data-start=\"1789\" data-end=\"1792\" \/>\n<h2 data-section-id=\"5rip3t\" data-start=\"1794\" data-end=\"1845\">Why the conflict is dangerous for the global economy<\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1849\" data-end=\"1921\">The Middle East remains a key region of the global oil market.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1923\" data-end=\"2078\">Approximately <strong data-start=\"1966\" data-end=\"1997\">20% global oil supply<\/strong>. Any attack on tankers or oil storage facilities could lead to a sharp rise in prices.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2080\" data-end=\"2115\">The markets are already reacting to the risks:<\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"2117\" data-end=\"2247\">\n<li data-section-id=\"1ibqd1f\" data-start=\"2117\" data-end=\"2167\">\n<p data-start=\"2119\" data-end=\"2167\">oil prices are highly volatile;<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-section-id=\"ewvob7\" data-start=\"2168\" data-end=\"2192\">\n<p data-start=\"2170\" data-end=\"2192\">The cost of gas is rising;<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-section-id=\"trwdjv\" data-start=\"2193\" data-end=\"2247\">\n<p data-start=\"2195\" data-end=\"2247\">European countries are preparing for new energy shocks.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"2249\" data-end=\"2335\">Analysts warn that a prolonged war could trigger a global economic crisis.<\/p>\n<hr data-start=\"2337\" data-end=\"2340\" \/>\n<h2 data-section-id=\"1cte1wy\" data-start=\"2342\" data-end=\"2391\">How the war in the Middle East affects Ukraine<\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"2393\" data-end=\"2440\">For Ukraine, the new escalation has a double effect.<\/p>\n<h3 data-section-id=\"vgodq3\" data-start=\"2442\" data-end=\"2462\">Negative risks<\/h3>\n<ul data-start=\"2463\" data-end=\"2645\">\n<li data-section-id=\"p7gzpf\" data-start=\"2463\" data-end=\"2535\">\n<p data-start=\"2465\" data-end=\"2535\">part of the US military resources could be redeployed to the Middle East;<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-section-id=\"1ht2p4i\" data-start=\"2536\" data-end=\"2611\">\n<p data-start=\"2538\" data-end=\"2611\">The international community's attention to Russia's war against Ukraine may decrease;<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-section-id=\"6kfi51\" data-start=\"2612\" data-end=\"2645\">\n<p data-start=\"2614\" data-end=\"2645\">energy prices may rise.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 data-section-id=\"xrwdsx\" data-start=\"2647\" data-end=\"2672\">Potential opportunities<\/h3>\n<ul data-start=\"2673\" data-end=\"2892\">\n<li data-section-id=\"1lghev7\" data-start=\"2673\" data-end=\"2735\">\n<p data-start=\"2675\" data-end=\"2735\">Russia is losing some of its political influence in the Middle East;<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-section-id=\"n26uid\" data-start=\"2736\" data-end=\"2801\">\n<p data-start=\"2738\" data-end=\"2801\">demand for Ukrainian anti-drone technology is growing;<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-section-id=\"l7uwfz\" data-start=\"2802\" data-end=\"2892\">\n<p data-start=\"2804\" data-end=\"2892\">Allies can more actively support Ukraine as a key factor of stability in Europe.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr data-start=\"2894\" data-end=\"2897\" \/>\n<h2 data-section-id=\"z2y4dm\" data-start=\"2899\" data-end=\"2938\">Is a diplomatic settlement possible?<\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"2942\" data-end=\"3014\">Despite the large-scale escalation, diplomatic channels remain open.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3016\" data-end=\"3202\">Gulf countries - in particular <strong data-start=\"3049\" data-end=\"3090\"><span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">United Arab Emirates<\/span><\/span><\/strong> and <strong data-start=\"3094\" data-end=\"3135\"><span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Qatar<\/span><\/span><\/strong> - are trying to mediate between Washington and Tehran.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3204\" data-end=\"3293\">Their main goal is to avoid a full-scale war that could destabilise the entire region.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3295\" data-end=\"3438\">However, experts say that after a series of strikes and political statements by the parties, the level of mistrust is so high that negotiations could take months.<\/p>\n<hr data-start=\"3440\" data-end=\"3443\" \/>\n<h2 data-section-id=\"6gvopn\" data-start=\"3445\" data-end=\"3486\">Context: the new geopolitical reality<\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"3488\" data-end=\"3598\">The current escalation in the Middle East is part of a broader global confrontation between the great powers.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3600\" data-end=\"3648\">It intersects with several key crises:<\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"3650\" data-end=\"3761\">\n<li data-section-id=\"1aeog3h\" data-start=\"3650\" data-end=\"3679\">\n<p data-start=\"3652\" data-end=\"3679\">Russia's war against Ukraine;<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-section-id=\"1dpymqs\" data-start=\"3680\" data-end=\"3708\">\n<p data-start=\"3682\" data-end=\"3708\">competition from the US and China;<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-section-id=\"1114r3l\" data-start=\"3709\" data-end=\"3761\">\n<p data-start=\"3711\" data-end=\"3761\">the struggle for control over energy resources.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"3763\" data-end=\"3881\">That is why many analysts call the current situation <strong data-start=\"3818\" data-end=\"3880\">the most dangerous international crisis in decades<\/strong>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0411\u043e\u0439\u043e\u0432\u0456 \u0434\u0456\u0457 \u043d\u0430 \u0411\u043b\u0438\u0437\u044c\u043a\u043e\u043c\u0443 \u0421\u0445\u043e\u0434\u0456 \u0441\u0442\u0440\u0456\u043c\u043a\u043e \u043f\u0435\u0440\u0435\u0440\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0430\u044e\u0442\u044c \u0456\u0437 \u0440\u0435\u0433\u0456\u043e\u043d\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u043e\u0433\u043e \u043a\u043e\u043d\u0444\u043b\u0456\u043a\u0442\u0443 \u0443 \u043a\u0440\u0438\u0437\u0443, \u0449\u043e \u043c\u043e\u0436\u0435 \u0437\u043c\u0456\u043d\u0438\u0442\u0438 \u0431\u0430\u043b\u0430\u043d\u0441 \u0441\u0438\u043b \u0443 \u0441\u0432\u0456\u0442\u0456. \u0423 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0442\u0438\u0441\u0442\u043e\u044f\u043d\u043d\u044f \u043f\u0440\u044f\u043c\u043e \u0430\u0431\u043e \u043e\u043f\u043e\u0441\u0435\u0440\u0435\u0434\u043a\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u043e \u0432\u0436\u0435 \u0432\u0442\u044f\u0433\u043d\u0443\u0442\u0456 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