{"id":3948,"date":"2025-11-02T19:52:24","date_gmt":"2025-11-02T17:52:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ukrmedia.news\/?p=3948"},"modified":"2025-11-02T19:52:47","modified_gmt":"2025-11-02T17:52:47","slug":"opec-pryzupynyaye-zbilshennya-vydobutku-nafty","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ukrmedia.news\/en\/economics\/opec-pryzupynyaye-zbilshennya-vydobutku-nafty\/","title":{"rendered":"OPEC+ suspends oil production increase due to oversupply risk"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>OPEC+: a modest increase in oil production in December and a pause in 2026 - what it means<\/h2>\n<h3 data-start=\"287\" data-end=\"307\">Key solutions<\/h3>\n<ul data-start=\"308\" data-end=\"800\">\n<li data-start=\"308\" data-end=\"443\">\n<p data-start=\"310\" data-end=\"443\">OPEC+ agreed to increase oil production by <strong data-start=\"356\" data-end=\"383\">137,000 barrels per day<\/strong> in December 2025.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"444\" data-end=\"608\">\n<p data-start=\"446\" data-end=\"608\">After December, the group plans to <strong data-start=\"472\" data-end=\"520\">refrain from further production increases<\/strong> in the first quarter of 2026 (January-March).<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"609\" data-end=\"800\">\n<p data-start=\"611\" data-end=\"800\">From April to date, OPEC+ has already raised its production targets by more than <strong data-start=\"694\" data-end=\"721\">2.7 million barrels per day<\/strong> (about 2.5-2.7% of global demand).<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 data-start=\"802\" data-end=\"829\">The reasons for this approach<\/h3>\n<ol data-start=\"830\" data-end=\"1687\">\n<li data-start=\"830\" data-end=\"1042\">\n<p data-start=\"833\" data-end=\"1042\"><strong data-start=\"833\" data-end=\"877\">Fear of market oversupply (supply glut).<\/strong> Analysts fear that if production increases too quickly and demand does not accelerate, this could lead to a drop in prices.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1043\" data-end=\"1245\">\n<p data-start=\"1046\" data-end=\"1245\"><strong data-start=\"1046\" data-end=\"1066\">Seasonal factors.<\/strong> The first quarter of the year is traditionally the weakest for oil demand: many refineries are undergoing maintenance, and fuel demand is declining.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1246\" data-end=\"1473\">\n<p data-start=\"1249\" data-end=\"1473\"><strong data-start=\"1249\" data-end=\"1291\">Sanctions pressure on a key participant.<\/strong> Russia, one of the leading members of OPEC+, has been subjected to new Western sanctions, making it difficult for it to increase production. This makes the group more cautious.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1474\" data-end=\"1687\">\n<p data-start=\"1477\" data-end=\"1687\"><strong data-start=\"1477\" data-end=\"1507\">A balance between the market and destiny.<\/strong> OPEC+ is trying to regain market share after years of cuts, but at the same time does not want to undermine prices or take an overly aggressive stance.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h3 data-start=\"1689\" data-end=\"1718\">Implications for the oil market<\/h3>\n<ul data-start=\"1719\" data-end=\"2374\">\n<li data-start=\"1719\" data-end=\"1964\">\n<p data-start=\"1721\" data-end=\"1964\">Brent or WTI oil prices have been supported: although in October they reached around <strong data-start=\"1809\" data-end=\"1827\">60 USD\/barrel<\/strong>, The growth of the Russian economy, thanks to sanctions against Russia and stabilised expectations, has risen to around <strong data-start=\"1905\" data-end=\"1923\">65 USD\/barrel<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1965\" data-end=\"2201\">\n<p data-start=\"1967\" data-end=\"2201\">Investors see the decision as a sign that OPEC+ is ready to act <strong data-start=\"2029\" data-end=\"2043\">proactively<\/strong>, to support prices and curb the glut. Analysts say: \u00abthe group is blinking, but it's a calculated morgue\u00bb.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2202\" data-end=\"2374\">\n<p data-start=\"2204\" data-end=\"2374\">If demand remains weak and no new production increases occur, this could create <strong data-start=\"2298\" data-end=\"2330\">a quiet period of price stagnation<\/strong> or even the risk of a decline in oil prices.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 data-start=\"2376\" data-end=\"2389\">What's next?<\/h3>\n<ul data-start=\"2390\" data-end=\"3090\">\n<li data-start=\"2390\" data-end=\"2571\">\n<p data-start=\"2392\" data-end=\"2571\">Next meeting of eight key OPEC+ members scheduled <strong data-start=\"2451\" data-end=\"2467\">30 November<\/strong>; It is likely that the situation will be assessed and, possibly, the decision will be adjusted.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2572\" data-end=\"2695\">\n<p data-start=\"2574\" data-end=\"2695\">In focus. <strong data-start=\"2585\" data-end=\"2612\">monitoring Russia's actions<\/strong>, as its ability to increase production will be crucial for the group.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2696\" data-end=\"2907\">\n<p data-start=\"2698\" data-end=\"2907\">It is also important to observe <strong data-start=\"2728\" data-end=\"2739\">demand<\/strong>Whether it will recover quickly in 2026 or remain weak due to global economic risks. If demand does not grow, even maintaining production may become a challenge.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2908\" data-end=\"3090\">\n<p data-start=\"2910\" data-end=\"3090\">Developments in technology and competition from unconventional extraction (e.g., the United States) and alternative energy sources may change the \u00abrules of the game\u00bb in the medium term.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr data-start=\"3092\" data-end=\"3095\" \/>\n<h3 data-start=\"3097\" data-end=\"3109\">Conclusion.<\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"3110\" data-end=\"3513\">OPEC+ decides on a modest production increase for December <strong data-start=\"3177\" data-end=\"3204\">137,000 barrels per day<\/strong> - and at the same time <strong data-start=\"3219\" data-end=\"3250\">a pause for the beginning of 2026<\/strong>. This reflects a cautious balance between the desire to build up the market and the risk of lower prices due to a possible glut. For Ukraine and the world, this means that oil prices may remain stable or fluctuate moderately, but a big jump upwards is not in sight.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>OPEC +: \u0441\u043a\u0440\u043e\u043c\u043d\u0435 \u0437\u0431\u0456\u043b\u044c\u0448\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f \u0432\u0438\u0434\u043e\u0431\u0443\u0442\u043a\u0443 \u043d\u0430\u0444\u0442\u0438 \u0432 \u0433\u0440\u0443\u0434\u043d\u0456 \u0439 \u043f\u0430\u0443\u0437\u0430 \u0432 2026 \u2014 \u0449\u043e \u0446\u0435 \u043e\u0437\u043d\u0430\u0447\u0430\u0454 \u041e\u0441\u043d\u043e\u0432\u043d\u0456 \u0440\u0456\u0448\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f OPEC + \u043f\u043e\u0433\u043e\u0434\u0438\u0432\u0441\u044f \u0437\u0431\u0456\u043b\u044c\u0448\u0438\u0442\u0438 \u0432\u0438\u0434\u043e\u0431\u0443\u0442\u043e\u043a \u043d\u0430\u0444\u0442\u0438 \u043d\u0430 137 000 \u0431\u0430\u0440\u0435\u043b\u0456\u0432 \u043d\u0430 \u0434\u043e\u0431\u0443 \u0432 \u0433\u0440\u0443\u0434\u043d\u0456 2025 \u0440\u043e\u043a\u0443. \u041f\u0456\u0441\u043b\u044f \u0433\u0440\u0443\u0434\u043d\u044f \u0433\u0440\u0443\u043f\u0430 \u043f\u043b\u0430\u043d\u0443\u0454 \u0443\u0442\u0440\u0438\u043c\u0430\u0442\u0438\u0441\u044f \u0432\u0456\u0434 \u043f\u043e\u0434\u0430\u043b\u044c\u0448\u0438\u0445 \u043f\u0440\u0438\u0440\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0456\u0432 \u0432\u0438\u0434\u043e\u0431\u0443\u0442\u043a\u0443 \u0443 \u043f\u0435\u0440\u0448\u043e\u043c\u0443 \u043a\u0432\u0430\u0440\u0442\u0430\u043b\u0456 2026 \u0440\u043e\u043a\u0443 (\u0441\u0456\u0447\u0435\u043d\u044c\u2013\u0431\u0435\u0440\u0435\u0437\u0435\u043d\u044c). \u0417 \u043a\u0432\u0456\u0442\u043d\u044f \u043f\u043e \u0442\u0435\u043f\u0435\u0440\u0456\u0448\u043d\u0456\u0439 \u043c\u043e\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0442 OPEC [\u2026]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":207433346,"featured_media":3949,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rank_math_title":"","rank_math_description":"","rank_math_focus_keyword":"OPEC+","td_subtitle":"","subtitle":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[805618],"tags":[806753],"class_list":{"0":"post-3948","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economics","8":"tag-806753"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ukrmedia.news\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3948","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ukrmedia.news\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ukrmedia.news\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ukrmedia.news\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/207433346"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ukrmedia.news\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3948"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ukrmedia.news\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3948\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3950,"href":"https:\/\/ukrmedia.news\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3948\/revisions\/3950"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ukrmedia.news\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3949"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ukrmedia.news\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3948"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ukrmedia.news\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3948"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ukrmedia.news\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3948"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}