The IMF predicts that the war in Ukraine will continue in 2026

Fund expects slow economic recovery due to ongoing hostilities

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) in its new forecast stated that a full-scale war in Ukraine is likely to last throughout 2026. This was a key factor in preserving the cautious forecasts for the Ukrainian economy.

As reported by NV Business, The IMF's baseline scenario takes into account Slowdown in GDP growth and high risks for investments, The situation in Ukraine is not without its challenges.

«We assume that the war will not end until the end of 2026, so the economic recovery will be gradual,» the Fund's review says.

In 2025, it is expected to Ukraine's GDP growth of about 3.2 %, while in 2026 up to 4 %, The Bank will continue to develop its business, but subject to stable funding from partners and inflation control.

IMF experts note that financial assistance from the US, EU and World Bank will remain critical for covering the budget deficit and rebuilding the energy infrastructure.