The European Commission predicts the end of the war in Ukraine at the end of 2026

European Commission: the war may end in 2026

The war in Ukraine may be over at the end of 2026 - This is stated in a letter from the President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen, addressed to the leaders of the European Union. The document was published by Censor.net with reference to sources in European institutions.

Although the European Commission does not name a specific scenario for the end of the war, the letter states that long-term support for Ukraine is needed and that the EU is preparing for a «tipping point» in 2026.

Details of the document

According to media reports, von der Leyen emphasises in his letter:

• the importance of maintaining EU unity in military and financial support for Ukraine;

• on preparations for the «enlargement of the European Union» after the war;

• that 2026 could be a «decisive» year in the context of the region's security.

The European Commission also calls on member states to accelerate the implementation of defence programmes, including joint European projects in the field of ammunition and air defence.

Context.

Predictions about the end of the war have repeatedly appeared in documents and statements by European politicians, but most of them are based on an assessment of Russia's potential, the pace of military assistance to Ukraine, and the economic stability of the parties.

The EU remains a key partner for Ukraine, providing macro-financial assistance, weapons, reconstruction programmes and support on the country's path to membership.