The international news agency Reuters, in its analysis of Russia’s new offensive, which is being prepared in the Kremlin, has published an alarming analysis of the aggressor country’s military and political leadership’s future plans. Despite serious economic problems and colossal losses on the front line, Vladimir Putin is determined solely to continue the war. The massive and successful strikes by Ukrainian drones on Russian oil depots, military factories and strategic targets have not forced Moscow to seek compromises — on the contrary, they have provoked an aggressive reaction in the Kremlin, where preparations are now underway for a large-scale escalation in the coming months.
According to insiders, the dictator has definitively rejected any proposals from his inner circle and technocratic advisers regarding a freeze on hostilities along the current line of contact. The Russian elite are becoming increasingly aware of the futility of a protracted, gruelling war; however, decisions are taken solely by Putin, for whom the complete capture of Ukraine’s eastern regions has become a «matter of principle».
Obsession with the Donbas: why is the Kremlin preparing a new offensive?
Despite the apparent slowdown in the advance of the occupying forces and the fierce resistance from the Ukrainian Defence Forces, Moscow’s main strategic objective remains reaching the administrative borders of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions. The Kremlin is blindly convinced that the Russian army has sufficient resources to occupy the remaining unliberated territories in the Donetsk region.
To carry out this plan, the Russian military command is prepared to make any sacrifices. Sources. Reuters confirms that, in all likelihood, Russia will need to announce another wave of open or covert mobilisation in order to organise a new large-scale offensive. The current rate of recruitment, relying on contract mercenaries and prisoners, is no longer sufficient to make up for daily losses and form powerful strike forces.
Western analysts point out that a potential new mobilisation in Russia It could seriously undermine the country’s internal stability and trigger a wave of social discontent; yet Putin is prepared to risk the stability of his own regime for the sake of illusory victories on the battlefield.
Reaction to Ukrainian drones: escalation rather than peace
Particular attention was paid to the effectiveness of the Ukrainian security and defence forces’ operations. Regular attacks by Ukrainian UAVs Strikes deep within the Russian Federation’s rear exposed the vulnerability of the Russian air defence system and inflicted billions in losses on the Russian Federation’s oil and gas sector. However, rather than the expected diplomatic retreat, these strikes only strengthened Putin’s determination to respond as harshly as possible.
Military experts and advisers to the Ukrainian Ministry of Defence emphasise that the Ukrainian army will continue to methodically destroy the enemy’s logistics and military infrastructure on its own territory, as this is the only effective way to thwart preparations for a new Russian offensive and weaken the occupiers’ combat units before the start of the escalation planned by the Kremlin.
The latest analytical articles, reports from the front line, technical specifications of Ukrainian long-range weaponry and the latest political news are always available on our news portal ukrmedia.news. Against the backdrop of the threat of a new offensive, speed and scale remain key factors for Ukraine supply of military aid from Western allies, which is intended to offset the Russian Federation’s advantage in manpower.
