Bookmakers consider Tyson Fury the favourite in his bout against Anthony Joshua for the vacant WBA Super heavyweight title. The fight is scheduled for 11 December 2026 at the Principality Stadium in Cardiff: the odds on Fury to win are 1.47, and on Joshua to win are 2.55. The odds were published by TSN on 8 October.
Briefly about the main points
- Fury has shorter odds of winning than Joshua.
- The market rates a early victory for Fury as the most likely outcome of the fight.
- The WBA Super title became vacant following Oleksandr Usyk’s withdrawal.
- Netflix will broadcast a boxing event for an international audience.
- The City Council is considering a proposal to allow boxers to enter the ring at night.
The market rates a knockout victory for Fury as the most likely outcome
Bookmakers consider a victory to be the most likely outcome of the match Fury By knockout — odds of 2.28. The odds of him winning by the judges’ decision are 3.66.
Towards an early victory Joshua The odds are 3.50, whilst a win by decision is priced at 8.00. A draw is priced at 17.00.
Odds may vary depending on the bookmaker and the time the bet is placed. They reflect the market’s assessment and do not guarantee the outcome of the fight.
The vacant title following Usyk’s departure and his opponents’ current form
The WBA Super title has become vacant Oleksandr Usyk in June 2026. Fury lost twice to the Ukrainian in 2024, whilst Joshua lost to Usyk in 2021 and 2022.
As of October, Fury’s professional record stands at 36 wins, two defeats and one draw; 25 of his wins have been by knockout. Joshua has 30 wins and four defeats, having secured 27 of his wins by knockout.
Both British boxers go into the title fight on the back of victories in July. Fury defeated Mariusz Wacha, whilst Joshua knocked out Christiana Preng.
Chisora and Hearn see Joshua as a chance for a knockout victory
British super-heavyweight Derek Chisora, who has fought Fury three times in the professional ring, predicts that Joshua will win by knockout. At the same time, he describes Fury as the best British heavyweight of his generation.
Joshua’s promoter, Eddie Hearn, believes his boxer can capitalise on his opponent’s aggressive style. According to Hearn, an open exchange of blows will give Joshua the opportunity to end the fight early.
A night-time bout and a Netflix broadcast in Cardiff
Principality Stadium, where the boxing event will take place, has a capacity of around 80,000 spectators. The international broadcast will be provided by Netflix, and the organisers plan to start selling tickets on 9 October.
According to Reuters, the organisers have asked the city council to allow the boxers to enter the ring at 01:00 on 12 December local time — that is 03:00 Kyiv time. The late start is intended to suit North American viewers.
As of 8 October, the council was still considering whether to grant permission for the stadium to remain open until 03:30. The bout will be the first professional clash between Fury and Joshua following years of attempts to organise a fight between them.
