Donald Trump's popularity has reached its lowest level since polls began in 2009. The drop in the president's rating is attributed to the war in Iran and the poor state of the economy. These factors may affect the results of the US midterm elections in autumn.
- Trump's approval rating dropped to -24, the lowest since 2009.
- 34% of Americans approve of the president, 58% disapprove.
- The war in Iran has worsened Trump's foreign policy rating to -20.
- 63% think the US economy is worse than before.
- The model predicts 90% chances for the Democrats to gain control of the House of Representatives.
The fall of Donald Trump's rating
After 494 days in power, the approval rating Donald Trump fell to -24, which is the lowest among US presidents since 2009. Only 34% of Americans support his performance, 58% express dissatisfaction, and 6% remain undecided. The decline in popularity comes amid foreign policy challenges and economic problems. About. reports The Economist.
The impact of the war in Iran on the rating
The war in Iran had a negative impact on the president's rating in the field of foreign policy. His net approval rating in this area is -20. Rising fuel prices, which have jumped from less than $3 a gallon to $4.48, are playing a key role in the decline in American confidence in the administration.
Economic problems as the main factor
Three-quarters of the population rate the US economic condition as «moderate» or «poor», and 63% believe the situation is getting worse. Trump's approval rating for his handling of inflation and prices fell to -43, the lowest of his term. US Treasury Secretary. Scott Bessent assured that «help is on the way», but many Americans remain sceptical due to the administration's contradictory statements on the war.
Prospects for the mid-term elections
The forecast model gives the Democrats a 90% chance of gaining control of the House of Representatives in the November elections, while the Senate remains open to both parties. Nevertheless, Trump continues to dominate the intra-party primaries, supporting candidates who are loyal to him. In particular, thanks to his support, Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton defeated a four-time incumbent for the Republican nomination to the Senate.
Differences in support by demographic group
Support for Trump remains the highest among white men and older voters, although even among pensioners, trust in him has declined significantly. Younger voters and representatives of ethnic minorities have a mostly negative assessment of his performance. People with higher education, especially those with college and postgraduate degrees, are the least supportive of the president.
Political priorities of voters
For the Republican base, the key issues remain immigration, taxes and government spending. Democrats are more focused on healthcare and climate change. The economic crisis caused by the pandemic and the war in Ukraine has strengthened the role of inflation as a central issue in US political life, which significantly affects Trump's rating.
