Warm weather is expected in Ukraine until 25 October, which is unusual for the second half of autumn: daytime temperatures of +13…+18°C are forecast in most regions, and in some parts of the south and west, temperatures could reach +20…+22°C. This was announced on 20 October by Vitaliy Postrygan, head of the Cherkasy Regional Centre for Hydrometeorology. The warmer weather will be accompanied by localised rain, fog and stronger winds in some regions.
Briefly about the main points
- Warm weather in Ukraine is forecast to continue until 25 October.
- It will be warmest in the south and in Zakarpattia — reaching up to +22°C in places.
- The Gerhard high-pressure system will bring sunny spells and southerly air currents.
- Rain is likely on the Right Bank and in the north-east, with fog at night and in the morning.
- Temperatures in Kyiv are forecast to reach +15…+17°C during the day, and up to +18°C in the Kyiv region.
A high-pressure system and southerly winds are bringing a change in the weather
Following a spell of cloudy weather, rain and fog, the Gerhard high-pressure system is beginning to affect Ukraine. According to Vitaliy Postrygan, it will help to stabilise atmospheric processes and increase the number of sunny spells.
Warm air masses will flow in from the Mediterranean and the Balkans, whilst the inflow of cold Arctic air will be limited by the end of the week. Last weekend average daily temperature ranged from +12 to +14°C — approximately 5 degrees above the climatic average; such temperatures are more typical of the second half of September.
The south and Zakarpattia will be the warmest
According to the Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Centre, on 21 October, daytime temperatures in most regions will range from +12 to +17°C. In Zakarpattia and the southern regions, temperatures will reach +20°C.
On Thursday and Friday, 22–23 October, temperatures are expected to range from +6 to +14°C at night and from +12 to +18°C during the day. In the south, and on 22 October also in Zakarpattia, temperatures may reach +20 to +22°C in some places.
Rain, fog and gusts of wind will persist in some areas
The warmer weather will not mean dry conditions across the whole country. On 20 October, weather fronts will bring rainfall mainly to the Right Bank and the south, whilst heavy rain is possible in some parts of the south-western regions.
On 21 October, light rain is forecast in some regions, and fog is expected in places during the night and in the morning. For 22–23 October, the Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Centre forecasts light to moderate rain in a number of regions on the Right Bank and in the north-east.
On Thursday, gusts of wind reaching 15–20 m/s are expected in some parts of the western regions, as well as in the Zhytomyr and Vinnytsia regions.
A relatively mild autumn is set to continue in Kyiv and the surrounding region
In Kyiv, night-time temperatures are expected to be mainly between +9 and +11°C over the next few days, whilst daytime temperatures will be between +15 and +17°C. There may be brief showers and fog in the capital.
Temperatures in the Kyiv region are forecast to be between +6 and +11°C at night and between +13 and +18°C during the day. The rise in temperature may temporarily reduce the need for space heating, although actual energy consumption will depend on weather conditions in each region.
The forecast for the coming weekend is still being finalised
Weather forecaster Nataliia Didenko Forecasts suggest that mild weather will continue through to Saturday and Sunday. No significant overall drop in temperatures is expected as yet, although temperatures and the nature of the precipitation will vary from region to region.
The details of the forecast for 24–25 October are subject to change.
